Possible Scenarios?
Posted: Sun Nov 12, 2006 1:10 am
What is your BCS scenario?
Things rarely work out how we want them to. The Michigan/Ohio State matchup this weekend is a rare exception. Now, we've heard again and again how the BCS will have to decide from a plethora of one-loss teams and as I'm sure many of us have thought, that just wasn't going to be the case. Everyone gets caught up in their wishful thoughts on ESPN (especially Chris Fowler) about a BCS-mess. But we all know a great deal of these one-loss teams were bound to stumble and we found that out today.
Now, we've got USC, Florida, Notre Dame, Louisville, West Virginia, Rutgers, Boise State, and Arkansas all waiting around and left standing. And this is how it's going to happen, IMO:
USC gets knocked out with a loss against Cal next week. Notre Dame will move into the #4 slot behind Ohio State (#3 at the time and yes, I'm getting confident in the Big Blue all of a sudden) and Florida (#2 at the time). The Irish go down in the Collisieum and that ends their hopes. As for Louisville and West Virginia, their title hopes are pretty much gone. They aren't going to be showed enough love from the computers to take over teams like Florida, Michigan, Ohio State, USC, etc.
Rutgers is going to fall on the final week of the season to West Virginia. I don't think they can really compete with the Mountaineer speed on offense even though their defense plays really hard. Boise State will also have their BCS hopes alive until that week 13 where they fall to Nevada in Reno. If it were at Boise, the Broncos win without much of an issue. BSU gets left out of the BCS and finishes 11-1.
So now, Arkansas and Florida. How do they fit into this scenario? Here's what I see happening. Arkansas will blow the doors off of Mississippi State setting up a huge game against LSU. Sure Arkansas is really, really good, but so are the Tigers. The Tigers end up having too much talent and win that game taking the Razorbacks out of the title picture. Florida breezes through the rest of their schedule (I thought FSU would challenge, ummm.....probably not after tonight's preformance ). Then, everything looks all great for a Florida/Michigan national championship, right? Wrong! Arkansas wins the SEC championship game and takes away hope from Florida.
And who does this leave us with? Why none other than a rematch of Ohio State/Michigan. Should be a lot of fun
But.....if there's anything I've learned from all my years watching college football, it's impossible to predict this stuff. I find it much easier to lay back, forget about projections and conjectures, relax, and just watch the game and have fun.
Things rarely work out how we want them to. The Michigan/Ohio State matchup this weekend is a rare exception. Now, we've heard again and again how the BCS will have to decide from a plethora of one-loss teams and as I'm sure many of us have thought, that just wasn't going to be the case. Everyone gets caught up in their wishful thoughts on ESPN (especially Chris Fowler) about a BCS-mess. But we all know a great deal of these one-loss teams were bound to stumble and we found that out today.
Now, we've got USC, Florida, Notre Dame, Louisville, West Virginia, Rutgers, Boise State, and Arkansas all waiting around and left standing. And this is how it's going to happen, IMO:
USC gets knocked out with a loss against Cal next week. Notre Dame will move into the #4 slot behind Ohio State (#3 at the time and yes, I'm getting confident in the Big Blue all of a sudden) and Florida (#2 at the time). The Irish go down in the Collisieum and that ends their hopes. As for Louisville and West Virginia, their title hopes are pretty much gone. They aren't going to be showed enough love from the computers to take over teams like Florida, Michigan, Ohio State, USC, etc.
Rutgers is going to fall on the final week of the season to West Virginia. I don't think they can really compete with the Mountaineer speed on offense even though their defense plays really hard. Boise State will also have their BCS hopes alive until that week 13 where they fall to Nevada in Reno. If it were at Boise, the Broncos win without much of an issue. BSU gets left out of the BCS and finishes 11-1.
So now, Arkansas and Florida. How do they fit into this scenario? Here's what I see happening. Arkansas will blow the doors off of Mississippi State setting up a huge game against LSU. Sure Arkansas is really, really good, but so are the Tigers. The Tigers end up having too much talent and win that game taking the Razorbacks out of the title picture. Florida breezes through the rest of their schedule (I thought FSU would challenge, ummm.....probably not after tonight's preformance ). Then, everything looks all great for a Florida/Michigan national championship, right? Wrong! Arkansas wins the SEC championship game and takes away hope from Florida.
And who does this leave us with? Why none other than a rematch of Ohio State/Michigan. Should be a lot of fun
But.....if there's anything I've learned from all my years watching college football, it's impossible to predict this stuff. I find it much easier to lay back, forget about projections and conjectures, relax, and just watch the game and have fun.