Odds of Perfect Bracket

[Eric]

Really, I think the formula used on this website is certainly one of the best out there.

[Spence]

Don't make me hit you, Spence

After checking with the government websites, the computer equation used for the CCR 119 has almost EXACTLY the same odds of predicting the title match-up three our of thirteen years as...

Your odds as dying while walking.

1 in 611 : CFP's odds
1 in 612: Your odds of dying on your midnight stroll

I'm just saying that Eric's fomula is random. Like if my 3 year old would pick. If you eliminate the teams that have little chance of making it the odds go up. The more information you have about the teams the more teams you can eliminate. I don't know how the computer does it, but I would think it would do it something like that. Still to have the computer do well, it would have to the correct information and formula for processing it.

The CFP computer picked , like 75%. Being right 3/4 of the time is pretty good. Which means the fomula that the computer uses to process the info is pretty good.

[openSkies]

I really really really really want to show you all the formula, but I don't think that's going to happen haha. First off, it wouldn't even come CLOSE to fitting in here. I think for each team there's something like 200+ columns. Probably more.

[Spence]

It wouldn't matter, I probably wouldn't understand it anyway.

[Eric]

Same thing with the 2^63, does a 16 seed have a realistic shot at an upset? Probably not. But those are all of the possibilities. You really can't eliminate anyone, because you just never know.

[Spence]

Same thing with the 2^63, does a 16 seed have a realistic shot at an upset? Probably not. But those are all of the possibilities. You really can't eliminate anyone, because you just never know.

You could still increase your probability. You not always going to be right, chances of being right would go up.

[Howdy]

Keep going.
Your on your way to picking the Power Ball wining Numbers.