If it was up to the BCS computers only....

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Derek
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Re: If it was up to the BCS computers only....

Postby Derek » Tue Oct 12, 2010 8:59 pm

RazorHawk wrote:
Derek wrote:I am in favor of the Computers having more weight than the human polls. I would be happy with 2/3rds computer.

Of course, it is humans that are setting up the computers, as to how the results should be obtained.


The formulas as set. They can't be tinkered with to get the results they want.
They’re either going to run the ball here or their going to pass it.

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Re: If it was up to the BCS computers only....

Postby Spence » Tue Oct 12, 2010 9:45 pm

Derek wrote:
RazorHawk wrote:
Derek wrote:I am in favor of the Computers having more weight than the human polls. I would be happy with 2/3rds computer.

Of course, it is humans that are setting up the computers, as to how the results should be obtained.


The formulas as set. They can't be tinkered with to get the results they want.


All the BCS computer rankings have been changed to satisfy changes the BCS wanted or they would not be used. They went all in. It is the reason CCR didn't take part.
"History doesn't always repeat itself but it often rhymes." - Mark Twain

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Re: If it was up to the BCS computers only....

Postby silverfox » Tue Oct 12, 2010 11:24 pm

I rest my case. I have testified as a forensic witness in the past concerning the reliability of computers and can tell you, without a doubt, computers can always be suspect due to variables that are used and the bias implemented by the creators, the programmers. I think most participants in this forum agree.
Win or Lose - IT'S HOW YOU HYPE THE OUTCOME! BCS logic: When teams in the AQ conferences lose, it shows how tough those conferences are; when teams in non-AQ conferences lose, it is weakness.

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Re: If it was up to the BCS computers only....

Postby billybud » Wed Oct 13, 2010 5:50 am

The difference is that although computer algorithmn may have a "set" bias, it will be set throughout the season and will be applied equally across the spectrum.

Humans have a bias that is not applied equally across the spectrum and can be pretty whimsical. I have been reviewing the votes of AP voters and the bias and whimsy are easy to see.
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Re: If it was up to the BCS computers only....

Postby silverfox » Wed Oct 13, 2010 5:54 am

billybud wrote:The difference is that although computer algorithmn may have a "set" bias, it will be set throughout the season and will be applied equally across the spectrum.

Humans have a bias that is not applied equally across the spectrum and can be pretty whimsical. I have been reviewing the votes of AP voters and the bias and whimsy are easy to see.


Actually I agree with you... :wink:
Win or Lose - IT'S HOW YOU HYPE THE OUTCOME! BCS logic: When teams in the AQ conferences lose, it shows how tough those conferences are; when teams in non-AQ conferences lose, it is weakness.

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Re: If it was up to the BCS computers only....

Postby donovan » Wed Oct 13, 2010 6:47 am

billybud wrote:The difference is that although computer algorithmn may have a "set" bias, it will be set throughout the season and will be applied equally across the spectrum.

Humans have a bias that is not applied equally across the spectrum and can be pretty whimsical. I have been reviewing the votes of AP voters and the bias and whimsy are easy to see.


Whimsy was one of my best subjects in school, right after lunch and recess.
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Re: If it was up to the BCS computers only....

Postby silverfox » Wed Oct 13, 2010 7:31 am

donovan wrote:
billybud wrote:The difference is that although computer algorithmn may have a "set" bias, it will be set throughout the season and will be applied equally across the spectrum.

Humans have a bias that is not applied equally across the spectrum and can be pretty whimsical. I have been reviewing the votes of AP voters and the bias and whimsy are easy to see.


Whimsy was one of my best subjects in school, right after lunch and recess.


LOL :lol:
Win or Lose - IT'S HOW YOU HYPE THE OUTCOME! BCS logic: When teams in the AQ conferences lose, it shows how tough those conferences are; when teams in non-AQ conferences lose, it is weakness.

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Re: If it was up to the BCS computers only....

Postby RazorHawk » Wed Oct 13, 2010 7:33 am

Derek wrote:
RazorHawk wrote:
Derek wrote:I am in favor of the Computers having more weight than the human polls. I would be happy with 2/3rds computer.

Of course, it is humans that are setting up the computers, as to how the results should be obtained.


The formulas as set. They can't be tinkered with to get the results they want.
Who set those formulas? I would suspect humans.
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Re: If it was up to the BCS computers only....

Postby billybud » Wed Oct 13, 2010 10:32 am

The formulas at least have internal consistancy.

The formulas are cut and dried..how they treat the "value" of a win, how they rate power. They don't see that it was a monsoon and the passing team was at a disadvantage, they don't see that a back up QB had to fill in for a game, they don't see how a lucky bounce or a bad call allowed the other team to win.

Us humans are much better at qualifying a win or loss...but we also may allow our bias to play when doing that qualifying. I think that my boy is handsomer than he probably is. I see him with a father's warm eye.
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Re: If it was up to the BCS computers only....

Postby Spence » Wed Oct 13, 2010 10:53 am

billybud wrote:The formulas at least have internal consistancy.

The formulas are cut and dried..how they treat the "value" of a win, how they rate power. They don't see that it was a monsoon and the passing team was at a disadvantage, they don't see that a back up QB had to fill in for a game, they don't see how a lucky bounce or a bad call allowed the other team to win.

Us humans are much better at qualifying a win or loss...but we also may allow our bias to play when doing that qualifying. I think that my boy is handsomer than he probably is. I see him with a father's warm eye.



You can't take bias out of human polling. As long as people can put aside their negative bias - the poll will be fine. Positive bias is weeded out from voter to voter. Negative bias, though, has a huge impact.
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Re: If it was up to the BCS computers only....

Postby Derek » Wed Oct 13, 2010 9:23 pm

Spence wrote:
Derek wrote:
RazorHawk wrote:
Derek wrote:I am in favor of the Computers having more weight than the human polls. I would be happy with 2/3rds computer.

Of course, it is humans that are setting up the computers, as to how the results should be obtained.


The formulas as set. They can't be tinkered with to get the results they want.


All the BCS computer rankings have been changed to satisfy changes the BCS wanted or they would not be used. They went all in. It is the reason CCR didn't take part.


Yes, but never in the middle of the year.

I understand the point, but I still believe that they are more honest than a sportswriter or coach. See 1989 and FSU.
They’re either going to run the ball here or their going to pass it.

The fewer rules a coach has, the fewer rules there are for players to break.

See, well ya see, the thing is, he should have caught that ball. But the ball is bigger than his hands.

- John Madden

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Re: If it was up to the BCS computers only....

Postby Spence » Wed Oct 13, 2010 9:36 pm

The computers can be biased to a style or play or a certain criteria that favors one brand of football after another, but they can't be biased against teams. All humans have bias, but as long as it isn't a negative bias or they try to manipulate the total, it isn't going to affect the overall results. Provided you have a large enough sample.
"History doesn't always repeat itself but it often rhymes." - Mark Twain

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Re: If it was up to the BCS computers only....

Postby Derek » Wed Oct 13, 2010 9:38 pm

Spence wrote:The computers can be biased to a style or play or a certain criteria that favors one brand of football after another, but they can't be biased against teams. All humans have bias, but as long as it isn't a negative bias or they try to manipulate the total, it isn't going to affect the overall results. Provided you have a large enough sample.


Yeah, and they have these stories of coaches voting other teams way down, just like the Heisman. It's crooked.
They’re either going to run the ball here or their going to pass it.

The fewer rules a coach has, the fewer rules there are for players to break.

See, well ya see, the thing is, he should have caught that ball. But the ball is bigger than his hands.

- John Madden

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Re: If it was up to the BCS computers only....

Postby WoVeU » Wed Oct 13, 2010 9:39 pm

Certain Engineers are supposed to give me a Sequence of Operations that I then turn into a program. This can often include the way to formulate something (the formula, perhaps approach, or the frame for an algorithm.) One of the fun parts is when they watch the unit run and the program...and say man "this or that works well." And I say, "no, I threw that out..." and "I programmed it to give you the operation and result you wanted instead of the method you asked for." *They don't give me sequences anymore! :lol:

So what I don't get...if the BCS requires this or that to be in the formula..then why isn't there a BCS Program rather than programs??? If there are multiple programs, then I'd have to conclude there is differentiation between them or time and effort is being wasted (and money too I would assume) OR there are other factors not stipulated by the BCS?
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Re: If it was up to the BCS computers only....

Postby WoVeU » Wed Oct 13, 2010 9:43 pm

Derek wrote:
Spence wrote:The computers can be biased to a style or play or a certain criteria that favors one brand of football after another, but they can't be biased against teams. All humans have bias, but as long as it isn't a negative bias or they try to manipulate the total, it isn't going to affect the overall results. Provided you have a large enough sample.


Yeah, and they have these stories of coaches voting other teams way down, just like the Heisman. It's crooked.


To be sure I voted consistently for schools like Notre Dame and Michigan...and USC...and Miami...and Chokelahoma, which I do not care for, I had to use a formula for them. I average their AP and Coaches rankings then I raise that to the zero power, divide by 1, then multiply by 115! I have to retain my integrity.
Government exists to protect us from each other. Where government has gone beyond its limits is in deciding to protect us from ourselves.
If it moves, tax it. If it keeps moving, regulate it. And if it stops moving, subsidize it.
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