CCR rankings out perform all BCS computer rankings

[Spence]

Thought this was pretty cool............... http://www.collegefootballpoll.com/news_2012_0530_ccr_outperforms_bcs.html

[donovan]

I did best in the contest when I just used Congrove....never won though....

[Spence]

I have played since the first season. I have only won one time. I have no system. Mountainman, I think, had the best year in total picks. I don't think Eric has ever won and I have a theory about that - Since Eric picks games he deems are the hardest twenty of the week, it makes sense that he has a hard time picking at a high rate. Hows that sound Eric?

[Eric]

I have played since the first season. I have only won one time. I have no system. Mountainman, I think, had the best year in total picks. I don't think Eric has ever won and I have a theory about that - Since Eric picks games he deems are the hardest twenty of the week, it makes sense that he has a hard time picking at a high rate. Hows that sound Eric?

Could be. Or maybe I just really stink

I have a tendency to force my upset picks, so that probably costs me a couple spots in the standings per year. Sometimes I just can't resist

I have always said that I try to spot a balance between the toughest games and the biggest games of the week. I wasn't sure if anybody would take Washington over USC, but it is a road game with the higher ranked team going on the road and this particular team has usually struggled against inferior teams on the road. It was a nationally broadcast game and probably one of the top 10 games of the week in terms of importance, so even though I didn't think it would get a very large split, I felt I had to include it. I was torn on whether or not to have Iowa @ Michigan State or San Antonio @ Rice since obviously more people are going to be more familiar with the former two teams rather than the latter. But I didn't feel the game was really nationally big or had national implications, so I chose the game that I thought would be harder to pick. My system is pretty arbitrary.

[Spence]

I think it has to do with what I said. I think you know as much about ALL the teams as anyone I have ever known. I just think the pick um is especially hard on you because you pick games you mostly believe are the harder games. If I tried that I would have more trouble too. I think picking the matchups and then picking teams in the game would be tough.

[Eric]

I think it has to do with what I said. I think you know as much about ALL the teams as anyone I have ever known. I just think the pick um is especially hard on you because you pick games you mostly believe are the harder games. If I tried that I would have more trouble too. I think picking the matchups and then picking teams in the game would be tough.

They key is after the fact vs. forecasting the future

[Spence]

The key to picking games is being able to isolate the key matchups and have an idea how they will turn out. A team that runs well can run into a defense that stops the run but has bad corners and lose. Another seemingly weaker team with a QB who can find his receivers can beat that same defense. It is easier said than done or I would have won lots more times. Still if you can break it down to that key matchup, you will win more times than you lose. Picking against the spread is a whole different thing.

[WoVeU]

Congrove was the only one to pick above the coin flip % ATS!

Funny, all those other guys think they are quite the football and math gurus...and they get a lot of touting!

[Derek]

Funny, all those other guys think they are quite the football and math gurus...and they get a lot of touting!

It's how the system supports itself.

[billybud]

If you really want a look at what system predicts what best....

http://www.thepredictiontracker.com/awards2011.html

[Brian Roastbeef]

So nobody is better than 50% against the spread all-time?!

Still a better batting average than the Feist hotline.

[Spence]

So nobody is better than 50% against the spread all-time?!

Still a better batting average than the Feist hotline.

There is a reason that they call it gambling.

[Grayghost]

So nobody is better than 50% against the spread all-time?!

Still a better batting average than the Feist hotline.

Lol...how many conversations have we had about that guy? Remember...always remember...Stupid Hat!

[Brian Roastbeef]

So nobody is better than 50% against the spread all-time?!

Still a better batting average than the Feist hotline.

Lol...how many conversations have we had about that guy? Remember...always remember...Stupid Hat!

LOL Yeah, I remember those. And that's Cokin with the stupid hat.